Friday, February 26, 2016

BTMG's 2016 OSCAR PICKS



In an attempt to keep the reasoning/chatter to a minimum, here are some notes on a just few categories...

BEST PICTURE
The Best Picture race was a two-horse race, then three, then two again…and now it might finally be at one (maybe).  The Big Short won the Producers Guild Award, Spotlight took the big prize from the Screen Actors Guild and The Revenant ended up snagging the Golden Globe, the BAFTA and Director Guild trophies.  All three may be still pushing things through the finish line but the race might finally be over…  Both The Big Short and Spotlight will be forced to settle for statues in their respective screenwriting categories.


DIRECTOR
Should all go as planned, director Alejandro G. Inarritu (winner of the Directors Guild prize two years in a row; history making) will walk home a Best Director Oscar winner…for the second year in a row (he won last year for BIRDMAN).

BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio.  That’s all I have to say about that.

BEST ACTRESS
You can’t go wrong with the two frontrunners, Brie Larson (ROOM) and Saoirse Ronan (BROOKLYN) – two outstanding female performances from two movies that landed in my top ten.  Pretty sure Larson does some of the heavier (read: more emotional lifting) so her win is virtually in the bag. Plus, she’s been winning all the precursor awards so there’s that…

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
All five are terrific performances – there were even some others that got left out in the cold.  I’ve been pretty boisterous about a win for Stallone since I first saw CREED.  If there’s gonna be a shock in Sunday’s telecast, it’ll probably be here…  A Best Picture win for THE REVENANT could mean a win for Tom Hardy.  A Best Picture win for THE BIG SHORT could mean a win for Christian Bale.  …or everyone’s list could blow up if the give the trophy to Mark Rylance for his beautiful – yet severely limited – work in BRIDGE OF SPIES.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Front runner, Alicia Vikander, had three terrific performances last year in THE DANISH GIRL, MAN FROM U.N.C.L.E and EX MACHINA – and although I preferred her work in the latter, she definitely deserving of a win for her work in the former.

**Click above graph for larger view**

The LIVE Oscar broadcast hosted by Chris Rock is this Sunday, February 28th at 7e/4p.  Only on ABC (KOMO 4 here in Seattle).

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