Thursday, February 21, 2013

BTMG'S 2013 OSCAR PICKS


Some call them the Academy Awards, others say The Oscars – but I think we can all agree that this Sunday (2/24) is the unofficial Lets-Copy-Brian-The-Movie-Guy’s-Picks-And-Win-Money-At-Whichever-Oscar-Party-We-End-Up-At-and/or-Our-Office-Pool.  Sliced either way, it’s a fun day to root for the films you loved and against the one’s you didn’t…  Counting up your winnings is also very fun. 
A quick look at the nomination count tells the story of two juggernauts battling it out for cinematic supremacy – but me thinks another story is yet to be told and will unfold in true Hollywood fashion come Sunday.  Basically, many films are gonna have their fingers in the gold guy’s pie (yeah, I think that came out wrong, too)…  The wealth will be shared and your favorite film has a really good chance to not go home empty-handed. 
Here’s how the nominations shake out: Steven Spielberg’s LINCOLN leads the pack with 12, followed closely by Ang Lee’s LIFE OF PIE at 11.  Both SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK and LES MISERABLES (number #2 and #4, respectively, on my Best of 2012 list) are tied with eight nominations.  ARGO (my #1 pick for 2012 and the movie I called to win best picture after seeing it in theaters) is next in line with a total of seven (which does not include best director…which is joke).  Finally, Tarantino’s DJANGO UNCHAINED (my #5 of 2012), ZERO DARK THIRTY (my #7), James Bond’s SKYFALL (my #8) and the foreign film, AMOUR all have five
Enough jibber jabber – lets win you some money with my highlighted picks below…
The BEST PICTURE Oscar goes to ARGOPossible Spoiler: LINCOLN
Who I want to win: ARGO

Bottom Line: I’ve called ARGO winning Best Picture since I saw it months ago – it even took the #1 spot in my Top Ten of 2012.  Those two facts have nothing to do with its Oscar chances, but these do: it has since gone on to win the Golden Globe for best picture, the Producers Guild award for best picture, the British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA) award for best picture and the Screen Actors Guild (SAG) award for outstanding performance by a cast in a motion picture.  FYI, in case you’re jumpy – the last time a movie won best picture without its director earning a nomination was in 1989 (DRIVING MISS DASIY).  To not go with ARGO is to accept an office pool loss.

The BEST DIRECTOR Oscar goes to Steven Spielberg (LINCOLN)
Possible Spoiler: Ang Lee (LIFE OF PI)
Who I want to win: David O. Russell (SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK)

Bottom Line: Ben Affleck may have won the Golden Globe, Directors Guild of America and BAFTA awards for directing but yeah…he has no business getting an Oscar nomination this year.  What a joke!  Okay, so who deserves it now?! Twelve nominations for LINCOLN means Spielberg did something right – but does anyone really love this movie…or do they simply respect it?  LIFE OF PI gets eleven nominations – maybe Ang Lee is the man.  Each acting category is filled with someone David O. Russell directed in SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK.  I’ve always liked Spielberg (most of the time) and I didn’t fall asleep watching his movie the first time – so I guess he gets my vote.

The BEST ACTOR Oscar goes to Daniel Day Lewis (LINCOLN) Possible Spoiler: Yeah, right.
Who I want to win: Going with the winner, but would also be happy to see Hugh Jackman up there

Bottom Line: DDL won the Golden Globe, BAFTA and SAG awards for best actor/drama.  His is one of two certain locks during these award ceremonies.


The BEST ACTRESS Oscar goes to Jennifer Lawrence (SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK)Possible Spolier: Emmanuelle Riva (AMOUR)
Who I want to win: Jennifer Lawrence

Bottom Line: Chastain may have won the Golden Globe for best actress/drama, (in a solid yet rather lackluster performance) but J-Law won the Golden Globe for best actress/comedy or musical and the SAG for Best Actress.  Emmanuelle Riva won the BAFTA award and is garnering late buzz…

The BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Oscar goes to Robert DeNiro (SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK) Possible Spoiler: Cristoph Waltz (DJANGO UNCHAINED)
Who I want to win: Robert DeNiro

Bottom Line: Probably the toughest category to call this year.  Cristoph Waltz won the Golden Globe and BAFTA award in this category.  Tommy Lee Jones won the SAG award.  I thought DeNiro’s was the best performance out of them all.


The BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Oscar goes to Anne Hathaway (LES MISÉRABLES) Possible Spoiler: She's a lock!
Who I want to win: Anne Hathaway

Bottom Line: Hathaway won the Golden Globe, BAFTA  and SAG awards in this same category and pours more depth in to her limited screen time than all the other supporting actress nominees combined.  If ever there was a mortal lock at this year’s Oscars…this would be it (in addition to DDL’s).


The BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Oscar goes to DJANGO UNCHAINEDPossible Spoiler: ZERO DARK THIRTY
Who I want to win: DJANGO UNCHAINED

Bottom Line: ZERO DARK THIRTY may have taken the top original screenplay prize from the Writers Guild Association, but Quentin Tarantino (DJANGO UNCHAINED) won the BAFTA, Golden Globe and Critic’s Choice award in this same category.  I voted for him in the Critic’s Choice – so I’m gonna vote for him here as well…

The BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Oscar goes to ARGOPossible Spoiler: LINCOLN
Who I want to win: ARGO

Bottom Line: ARGO won yet another major award – this time for adapted screenplay from the Writers Guild Association. 

The BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM Oscar goes to BRAVEPossible Spoiler: FRANKENWEENIE
Who I want to win: FRANKENWEENIE

Bottom Line: BRAVE won the Golden Globe and BAFTA award for best animated film, the sound mixing in animation award from the Cinema Audio Society and the American Cinema Editors award for best edited animation feature film.

The BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE Oscar goes to SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN Possible Spoiler: HOW TO SURVIVE A PLAGUE
Who I want to win: SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN

Bottom Line: SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN took home the BAFTA for best documentary, the Writers Guild Association award for writing in a documentary, the American Cinema Editors award for best edited documentary and the Directors Guild award for outstanding directorial achievement/documentary.

The BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Oscar goes to AMOUR Possible Spoiler: Nope - not a chance
Who I want to win: AMOUR

Bottom Line: AMOUR also being nominated for best picture should end any doubt – but it also won the Golden Globe and BAFTA for best foreign film.  My favorite of the year, THE INTOUCHABLES, wasn't even nominated, so...

The BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Oscar goes to SKYFALL Bottom Line: The American Society of Cinematographers awarded their annual prize to SKYFALL


The BEST FILM EDITING Oscar goes to ARGO
Bottom Line: The American Cinema Editors gave out their ‘Eddie’ awards to ARGO (best edited feature film/dramatic) and SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK (best edited feature film/comedy or musical).  ARGO also took home the BAFTA award for editing.

The BEST ORIGINAL SCORE Oscar goes to LIFE OF PI
Bottom Line: LIFE OF PI won the Golden Globe.

The BEST ORIGINAL SONG Oscar goes to Adelle/'Skyfall' (SKYFALL)
Bottom Line: Adelle doesn’t not win awards, does she?!

The BEST SOUND MIXING Oscar goes to LES MISÉRABLES
Bottom Line: The Cinema Audio Society awards excellence in sound mixing and they gave their annual award to LES MIS.

The BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN Oscar goes to ANNA KARENINA
Bottom Line: The Art Directors Guild handed out top honors to ANNA KARENINA (period films), LIFE OF PI (fantasy films) and SKYFALL (contemporary films).  SKYFALL isn’t an Oscar nominee, so let’s flip a coin. 

The BEST VISUAL EFFECTS Oscar goes to LIFE OF PI
Bottom Line: LIFE OF PI won the BAFTA award

The BEST COSTUME DESIGN Oscar goes to ANNA KARENINA
Bottom Line: ANNA KARENINA (Excellence in Period Film) and MIRROR MIRROR (Excellence in Fantasy Film) both recently won awards – in those respective categories – from the 2013 Costume Designers Guild.  ANNA KARENINA also won the BAFTA award.

The BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING Oscar goes to LES MISÉRABLES
Bottom Line: I got nothing to back this one up…except the makeup in LES MIS was very good and we’ve already seen two of THE LORD OF THE RINGS movies win this award in years past.

The BEST SOUND EDITING Oscar goes to LIFE OF PI
Bottom Line: The Motion Picture Sound Editors gave out four awards this year: two to LIFE OF PI (music in a feature film and dialogue in a feature film), one to SKYFALL (sound effects in a feature film) and one to LES MIS (music in a musical feature film).  Two awards are better than getting one, so I’m going with the obvious choice.

The BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT Oscar goes to OPEN HEART
Bottom Line: You're on your own here, folks...

The BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT Oscar goes to CURFEWBottom Line: What can I say, I'm blessed with the ability to guess correctly...

The BEST ANIMATED SHORT Oscar goes to PAPERMANBottom Line:  A wonderful little short.  Seriously, you should give it a watch - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3WVAR1McO4

2 comments:

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